discjockey wrote:
interesting. but if you notice, never do i mention in my first post that this stuff is real. i dont think its real, i just think that we have some sort of intuition that guides us to say heads or tails or something like that. i just wanted to put a few facts out about what exactly esp is and a few roadmarks. anyways, Rhine was only testing for people. he was never successful in finding someone with this power. while i think some of those things you said are debatable, we are all entiltled to our opinions, so i'm not going to argue with you. if you got any of those facts from a book, please share the name because i love reading on the history of magic/mentalism/etc.
Actually nothing I said was debatable (unless some minor fact was wrong). There is no doubt that Gellar was a charlatan and Rhine was a scientist who was conned by charlatans.
If you claim that you can intuit the flip of a coin, then you are claiming ESP. It is easy to test. But is also easy to cheat at, and easy to misinterpret your results. If you flip a coin 100 times, and you predict what the side will come up on each flip, you will be expected to be correct 50% of the time. But this means that if you repeated the test, lets say 100 times (for a total of 10,000 flips, then the average of the number of times you were correct on a flip of 100 coins, would be fairly close to 50. The more flips you do the closer to an average of 50 you would get. But on the first 100, it is not that uncommon to have as many as 60 correct (I would tell you exactly what the probability is, but I don't have my TI-83 with me.) And, also, it does not matter if you guess randomly, guess heads every time, or guess heads every other time, you will, on average be correct 50% of the time.
James Randi has a 10,000 (or 1,000,000) dollar prize for the first psychic who can tell what he wrote on a sheet of paper and placed in a vault. The experiment is validated and watched over by a major Acounting firm. Randi does not have access to the vault (so he can't cheat.) He has had this standing offer now for more than 20 years, and no psychic has been able to tell him what the single word Randi wrote on the sheet of paper was.
There has never been a successful test conducted of a psychic under test conditions designed by magicians.